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 UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10

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Wazza
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PostSubject: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Mon May 31, 2010 9:34 pm

And... still no storms!

This week we will see high pressure dominating the UK with temperatures steadily climbing as the week progresses, only into the low teens so no heat like we saw the other week!

Tuesday will see a band of persistent rain with an occluded front move across from west to east, heaviest rain in the west across Wales.

Then for the remainder of the week we will see drier conditions move back in, with nothing storm wise forecast as yet, but towards the weekend an atlantic system may swing in a front or two but that's a way off yet.

Winds will for the beginning of the week be coming from that cool Northerly direction, but look like they'll swing round to a nice southerly as the area of High moves east - nice!

This is going to be a long spring I think, just like that long winter we have just gotten rid of!
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Tue Jun 01, 2010 3:32 pm

I know this is totally fantasy-island stuff, but GFS is hinting at some potential favourable conditions for storms on Sunday:



Obviously far too early to call, but at least there's some potential in the pipeline for the weekend.
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Tue Jun 01, 2010 10:57 pm

Yeah i've seen those numbers, but as you say I expect those to change quite considerably.

Those numbers in France are nice! Shocked
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Wed Jun 02, 2010 2:42 am

Yes if this comes off, France is definitely the place to be! Tis a shame we're not getting those sort of conditions over UK soil. Evil or Very Mad
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Fri Jun 04, 2010 9:21 am

Damn...

The weekend is looking like we could see some thunderstorms finally! Only thing is I will only have Saturday daytime to get out there.

It looks like Saturday/Sunday as the moisture really builds up from the south, Cape and LI look more favourable for Sunday as well as precip values.

I'm real annoyed that the weekend I have off work and plan things, the storm clouds look set to build up. Mad
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Fri Jun 04, 2010 7:32 pm

Just had a look over the morning runs for Sunday.

NetWeather are looking at storms into Sunday with torrential downpours. Looking at GFS models, yes a good possibility, but the Cape and LI numbers have dropped off quite a bit. It seems though that we will be having a trough and a cold front moving across the UK which is a very good sign. Plenty of moisture coming up from the south and with temps set to push towards 30C it's all looking promising.

The winds too are coming from a perfect direction, SW from the bay of Biscay which also excites me somewhat.

I wont post any models at the moment as they're a bit hit and miss with their data, but I'll for sure look tomorrow morning and post some stuff up.
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Sat Jun 05, 2010 3:22 am

The north west of Scotland just had a nice little thunderstorm pass over! Would have been fun to watch this one:

http://www.hebwx.co.uk/wxlightning.php

Looks like it's winding down now though.
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Sat Jun 05, 2010 3:26 am

Wazza wrote:
Damn...
The weekend is looking like we could see some thunderstorms finally! Only thing is I will only have Saturday daytime to get out there.
Wazza.. I'm with ya... I'm stuck at work all weekend so I won't be doing any chasing if things do kick off. No
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Sat Jun 05, 2010 5:58 am

Yeah nice little storm that Graham!

Pain in the rear not being able to chase. I'm hoping if anything does kick off it'll be late evening as I'll be around then!
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Sat Jun 05, 2010 8:32 am

I just saw my first little tv weather lightning flashy symbol things of the year! Oh the nostalgia! It's been a while ha!
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Sat Jun 05, 2010 8:46 pm

looks like today could be the first storm of the season this afternoon if the weather stays to how its forecast...take a look at these, just run a check on my postcode..


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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Sat Jun 05, 2010 11:57 pm

Hehe Marianne! You really know summer is here when you see those!

Mark, deffo! Storms forecast earlier than once thought, today things could really kick off with a possible lively night on the cards!

East and SE are forecast for the good stuff, but I'm looking too at the Midlands with these numbers. I'm at work tonight but finish around midnight so my gear will be in the car ready. Could be a good one this!



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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Sun Jun 06, 2010 12:54 am

I don't think at the mo I need to travel very far should things spark off.

Looking at Hi-res NMM, looking like the Midlands will be the place to be. Certainly some convection out there now.

Latest runs for 18:00.





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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Sun Jun 06, 2010 2:30 am

Been out to take a couple of daytime shots of the current conditions.







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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Sun Jun 06, 2010 5:56 am

they are the same conditions i have above me right now wazza...i posted a pic on your facebook aswell as julians as i was on my phone not laptop at the time Razz
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Sun Jun 06, 2010 6:09 am

its just started to rain quite heavy here now, the weathercam is up at markhamilton.co.uk Very Happy will try keep it on throughout the night now...im curently at my parents house, so its on at there house at the moment..but will take all my gear back home with me and set it up there Very Happy
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Sun Jun 06, 2010 8:13 am

looks like the storms are bubbling up now...http://www.isleofwightweather.co.uk/live_storm_data_sound.htm

not sure if they will extend down the country tonight ? got my weathercam up and running now im back home!

i see a new metoffice severe weather warning has been issued aswell

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/em/em_forecast_warnings.html
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Sun Jun 06, 2010 10:30 am

Thanks for keeping an eye on this.

I've been out, drove to Rugby and saw a lot of heavy rain and IC lightning, but no CG stuff. Tried taking a few pics but all pointless. Just White sky with no definition at all.

Looks to be quietening down now, although I'm happy with the areas I was expecting, I'm quite dissapointed with the way it turned out with no REAL lightning.
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Sun Jun 06, 2010 10:06 pm

its been a well active night over the midlands and SE with a lot of activity lightning wise. looks to have cooled of for the time being.

i've still not seen any lightning or heard any thunder this year which is really depressing Sad

hopefully, this afternoon it all changes bounce if anything happens up this way i'll be streaming it live on www.severestudios.com
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Mon Jun 07, 2010 2:28 am

well im now under a servere weather warning again...its extremely humid and cloudy here...sweating like mad lol

my granparents from corby (northants) came over today and they said they had a massive storm last night about 10pm...shame it missed me!
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Mon Jun 07, 2010 2:31 am

jp wrote:
its been a well active night over the midlands and SE with a lot of activity lightning wise. looks to have cooled of for the time being.

i've still not seen any lightning or heard any thunder this year which is really depressing Sad

hopefully, this afternoon it all changes bounce if anything happens up this way i'll be streaming it live on www.severestudios.com

i like that site...how did you squeeze in on the american site/stream...(i want a go Very Happy)
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Mon Jun 07, 2010 3:32 am

Well thestorm has been and gone. Nothing spectacular. Only a few lightning and thunder very heavy rain though. Just set my iPhone to video record jay as a fork shot from the cloud but I missed it how gutted am I! Nothing since then. But it's passed to my east now towards cambs and Essex way. Think I am due more looking at the radar within about a hour so fingers crossed
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Mon Jun 07, 2010 4:21 am

Well the second system has just come and gone bit didn't produce anything but heavy to medium rainfall. Disappointed again as it was supposed to be a good storm day. O well....off to wait for the next storms later in the week apparantly now!
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Mon Jun 07, 2010 8:14 am

Yeah deffo a let down today.

Last night was very lively in Northamptonshire but only for sheet lightning. Had the shutter open for around 10 secs, but as there were so many flashes in just one flash, I got just lit up sky.

Nice coverage though Mark, a coolness point for you! Very Happy
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PostSubject: Re: UK Weather Forecasts, Reports and Discussion WC 30/05/10   Mon Jun 07, 2010 4:23 pm

I really thought it was going to thunder here last night....instead it turned into a torrential downpour...just as I was walking back with my takeaway!!!!

If I had taken shampoo I could have showered.
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