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 Active Tropics

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jp
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PostSubject: Active Tropics   Sat Sep 04, 2010 12:23 am

So far this year the tropics have been slow but are starting to wake up. Hurricane Danielle was the first in what seems to be an active month ahead for the US, although Danielle was a fish hurricane (stayed over the sea) she was the first hurricane to reach major status.
Hurricane Earl is the second hurricane to reach major status and just clipped the North Carolina coast line last night with no major damage caused and at this moment is still a Cat. 2 with wind speed's of 105mph but he is weakening all the time as he encounters cooler sea temperatures and wind shear. He is still forecast to make landfall in New England around 6pm BST on saturday, but as a tropical cyclone with winds between 39-73mph there after he will continue to weaken and turn into an area of deep low pressure (post tropical cyclone)
Tropical storm Fiona is still alive and kicking and is forecast to impact Bermuda around 8am BST on saturday with warnings out for tropical storm force winds between 39-73mph to impact the island. After that she will continue NNE over the Atlantic and by monday should have dissapated into a post tropical cyclone.
Gaston was alive and kicking but died a death yesterday in hurricane Earl's wake and simply was'nt strong enough to sustain itself. The NHC has put a 40% chance on Gaston's remains re-forming into a tropical cyclone over the next few day's and if it does re-form there is a good chance it could form into the next hurricane and it could have an impact on Florida.
Behind Gaston's remains there is a new tropical wave of interest which at this moment in time is producing thunderstorms between the coast of Africa and the Cape Verde islands. There is a 20% chance that this tropical wave could form into the next tropical storm then into a hurricane which would be named Hermine.
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Wazza
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PostSubject: Re: Active Tropics   Sat Sep 04, 2010 3:09 am

Nice info there JP. It has been a slow start as you say but there are more regular signs showing now.
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