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 Hurricane Earl

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Wazza
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PostSubject: Hurricane Earl   Wed Sep 01, 2010 7:16 am

And it's heading towards the coast...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-11141730
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PostSubject: Re: Hurricane Earl   Wed Sep 01, 2010 7:19 am

And latest imagery from NOAA.

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PostSubject: Re: Hurricane Earl   Fri Sep 03, 2010 1:22 am

State of emergency issued in Northern Carolina ahead of Hurricane Earl.

http://www.kbtx.com/home/headlines/102002013.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=facebook
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PostSubject: Re: Hurricane Earl   Fri Sep 03, 2010 4:05 am

Hurricane Earl is currently a category 4 hurricane on the saffir-simpson scale and is currently heading almost due north. here is the latest discussion on Earl....

Hurricane EARL Forecast Discussion:



000
WTNT42 KNHC 021456
TCDAT2
HURRICANE EARL DISCUSSION NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
1100 AM EDT THU SEP 02 2010

THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE STRUCTURE OF EARL
DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER..MICROWAVE INAGERY SUGGEST THAT
AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT COULD OCCUR SOON...IN WHICH CASE THE WIND
FIELD WOULD BECOME LARGER. THE HURRICANE CONTINUES WITH A DISTINCT
EYE SURROUNDED BY DEEP CONVECTION. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES
AND DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT A FEW HOURS AGO INDICATE
THAT THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS 120 KNOTS. EARL PROBABLY HAS ALREADY
REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY AND IT SHOULD SOON BEGIN TO WEAKEN
GRADUALLY AS THE SHEAR INCREASES. THE HURRICANE SHOULD WEAKEN EVEN
FASTER AFTER 36 HOURS...AS IT MOVES OVER A COLDER OCEAN. EARL
SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY 72 HOURS AND DISSIPATE THEREAFTER AS
IT BECOMES ABSORBED BY A MUCH LARGER EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE.

AS ANTICIPATED...EARL HAS BEGUN TO MOVE NORTHWARD OR 355 DEGREES AT
16 KNOTS. SINCE THE STEERING PATTERN HAS NOT CHANGED...EARL IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWARD TODAY. IN ABOUT 24 HOURS...THE
HURRICANE SHOULD BE ENCOUNTERING THE BASE OF THE MID-LATITUDE
WESTERLIES AND EARL SHOULD THEN TURN MORE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST
AND NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS SHARP TURN
HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY INDICATED FOR THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS IN THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST AND BY THE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED TRACK GUIDANCE.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 02/1500Z 30.9N 74.8W 120 KT
12HR VT 03/0000Z 33.5N 75.0W 115 KT
24HR VT 03/1200Z 36.5N 73.5W 100 KT
36HR VT 04/0000Z 40.0N 70.8W 85 KT
48HR VT 04/1200Z 44.0N 67.0W 65 KT
72HR VT 05/1200Z 53.5N 62.0W 40 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96HR VT 06/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL LOW




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PostSubject: Re: Hurricane Earl   Fri Sep 03, 2010 4:18 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-ir4.html latest satellite loop of hurricane Earl which updates every 30mins. you can see the eye of the hurricane is going through what is known as eye wall replacement.

you can watch live streaming from hurricane Earl @ http://www.ustream.tv/channel/hurricanetrack-com or http://www.weathernut.net/ there should be a couple more streams going live later today and sa soon as i have them i'll post the links.
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PostSubject: Re: Hurricane Earl   Sat Sep 04, 2010 3:10 am

Yeah nice loops here.

Shame it has lost it's intensity though, but still it'll be a tad Breezy! Lol
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PostSubject: Re: Hurricane Earl   Sat Sep 04, 2010 3:22 am

im watching hurricanetracks.com just now and they just recorded a 42mph gust so defo still a touch on the breezy side. theres some awesome waves battering the coast, looks like hawaii! lol!

Scott Mcpartland is heading to Cape Cod to intercept Earl later today so hopefully he will be streaming on CTV later.
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PostSubject: Re: Hurricane Earl   Sat Sep 04, 2010 3:25 am

Latest discussion on Hurricane Earl:

HURRICANE EARL DISCUSSION NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
1100 AM EDT FRI SEP 03 2010


SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE
INDICATE THAT EARL HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN. THE INITIAL INTENSITY
HAS BEEN REDUCED TO 75 KNOTS. THE HURRICANE IS ALREADY MOVING OVER
INCREASINGLY COOLER WATERS AND A CONTINUED WEAKENING IS
ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER...EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS NEAR CAPE COD AS A
HURRICANE WITH A LARGE AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH
SHOULD AFFECT A LARGE PORTION OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND
COASTS. EARL SHOULD REACH CANADA AS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM AND
THEN BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN ABOUT 36 HOURS.

EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 030 DEGREES AT 18
KNOTS. THE HURRICANE HAS ALREADY RECURVED WHILE EMBEDDED IN THE
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH.
EARL SHOULD CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED UNTIL DISSIPATION IN A FEW DAYS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 03/1500Z 36.8N 73.1W 75 KT
12HR VT 04/0000Z 39.7N 70.8W 70 KT
24HR VT 04/1200Z 43.8N 66.5W 60 KT
36HR VT 05/0000Z 49.0N 62.0W 45 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 05/1200Z 52.0N 56.5W 45 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72HR VT 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED




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